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Sales of new homes dropped 1.5% in March to a seasonally
adjusted annual rate of 511,000 units. The first-quarter sales pace of
517,000 units matches the sales pace set in last year’s first quarter. 1
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The median sales price of new homes sold in March was
$288,000, a 1.8% decline from the $293,400 median price of March 2015.1
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Half of the new homes sold in March were on the market for
at least 4.1 months after construction was completed. The median length of
time on the market in March 2015 was 3.8 months. During the recent housing
downturn, the median length of time on the market spiked to 13.3 months in
2010.1
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Over the last four quarters, the homeownership rate averaged
63.6%, the lowest four-quarter average since at least 1980. A year ago, the
rate stood at 64.2%.2
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The economy expanded at a 0.5% seasonally adjusted annual
rate during the first quarter of 2016. That’s the third consecutive quarter
of deceleration since GDP expanded 3.9% in the second quarter of 2015. The
economy has grown at a 2.1% average annual growth rate since the current
recovery began in mid-2009, while the previous post-World War II recoveries
averaged 3.7% annual growth.3
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Productivity fell for the second consecutive quarter in the
first three months of 2016, generating a 0.6% gain over the past year.
Productivity growth has been subpar for the last several years, compared to
the 2.4% average annual growth rate set from 1991-2010. Productivity
measures the output produced per hour of work and is a fundamental driver
of changes in economic standards of living.4
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Slower productivity growth boosted growth in unit labor
costs, which measures the cost of labor that’s required to produce a given
amount of output. Unit labor costs are up 2.3% over the past year, almost
double the 1.2% average annual gain from 1991-2010.4
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The average rate on 30-year fixed-rate mortgages in Freddie
Mac’s survey was 3.61% during the week ending May 5, a decrease of 5 basis
points from the previous week. That matches the April average and is below
the first-quarter average of 3.74%. All rates quoted have fees and points
averaging 0.5% to 0.6% of the loan amount.5
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